The meteorological landscape over southern India is set to undergo a significant transformation as an upper air Cyclonic Circulation establishes itself over the Comorin area in the lower tropospheric levels. Coupled with strong Northeasterly winds originating from the Bay of Bengal and extending to southeast Peninsular India, these atmospheric conditions are poised to usher in a period of precipitation across various states in the region.
Under the influence of the aforementioned meteorological conditions, the following rainfall patterns are expected from November 20th to 24th, 2023:
- Tamil Nadu and Kerala:
- Light to moderate rainfall is expected in many places.
- Isolated instances of heavy rainfall are anticipated.
- Coastal Andhra Pradesh:
- Rainfall is expected on the 21st of November.
- South Interior Karnataka:
- Rainfall is forecasted from the 22nd to the 24th of November.
- Coastal Karnataka:
- Rainfall is expected on the 24th of November.
The intensity of Rainfall:
In specific regions, the intensity of rainfall is expected to vary:
- Tamil Nadu and Kerala (22nd-24th November):
- Isolated occurrences of very heavy rainfall.
No significant weather events are foreseen in the rest of the country during this period.
Given the forecast, residents and authorities in the affected regions are advised to stay informed about the changing weather conditions. It is recommended to take necessary precautions to mitigate the impact of heavy rainfall, including potential flooding, landslides, and disruptions to daily activities.
As the upper air Cyclonic Circulation asserts its influence over the Comorin area and Northeasterly winds prevail, the southern states of India are bracing for a bout of rainfall. The forecasted patterns indicate a mix of light to moderate rainfall, with isolated instances of heavy and very heavy rainfall in specific regions. Staying informed and prepared will be crucial for residents and authorities to navigate through this weather phenomenon.
Source: India Meteorological Department