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As we navigate through the dynamic realm of weather patterns, it becomes imperative to stay abreast of the evolving systems and their potential impacts. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the forecast and warnings for the upcoming week:
Cyclonic Circulation over Northeast Assam: A cyclonic circulation prevailing over northeast Assam in the lower tropospheric levels is expected to induce various weather phenomena in the region. Arunachal Pradesh is likely to experience scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall and snowfall, accompanied by isolated thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds over the next seven days. Additionally, isolated heavy rainfall is anticipated over Arunachal Pradesh on the 9th of April, 2024.
Trough/Wind Discontinuity from North Coastal (AP) Andhra Pradesh to South Tamil Nadu: A trough extending from north Coastal Andhra Pradesh to south Tamil Nadu across Rayalaseema in the lower tropospheric levels will influence weather conditions in several regions. Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Odisha are expected to experience scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall, thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds initially, with a subsequent decrease in intensity. Similarly, other regions like East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, Telangana, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal are likely to witness varying degrees of rainfall and thunderstorm activity from the 9th to the 14th of April, 2024.
Western Disturbance and Its Impacts: A fresh Western Disturbance, evident as a trough in middle tropospheric westerlies, is observed with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level along Long. 60°E to the north of Lat. 32°N. This disturbance is expected to cause isolated to scattered light rainfall/snowfall with thunderstorms and lightning over Jammu-Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand on the 10th and 11th of April. Furthermore, scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall is anticipated over the mentioned regions during the 13th to 15th of April, 2024. Additionally, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, and Haryana are likely to experience rainfall and thunderstorm activity from the 10th to the 15th of April, 2024.
Maximum Temperature Observations and Forecast: Yesterday, maximum temperatures soared in several regions, exceeding normal levels by 2-3°C. Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, and parts of Uttar Pradesh, West Rajasthan, Gujarat, Telangana, and Kerala experienced temperatures ranging from 40-44°C. The coming days are expected to witness a gradual rise in maximum temperatures across Northwest India, while East India may experience a rise by 3-5°C. Conversely, Maharashtra is likely to witness a gradual fall in maximum temperatures by 2-4°C.
Heat Wave, Warm Night, and Hot & Humid Weather Warnings: Warm night conditions are anticipated in isolated pockets over North Interior Karnataka on the 9th of April, 2024. Moreover, hot and humid weather is expected to prevail over various coastal regions and coastal areas of Gujarat and Karnataka during specific periods in the upcoming week.
Source: India Meteorological Department
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