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Weather Update: Cyclonic Influences and Rainfall Forecasts Across India

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The Indian Meteorological Department has issued a comprehensive weather update, highlighting the dynamic meteorological conditions currently affecting various parts of the country. With a Low-Pressure Area forming over the east-central Arabian Sea and associated cyclonic circulations, the weather forecast predicts specific impacts across multiple regions.

Cyclonic Circulation over Southeast & east-central Arabian Sea

A Low low-pressure area has developed over the Eastcentral Arabian Sea, with the cyclonic circulation extending up to 3.1 km above sea level. Strong easterly/northeasterly winds are prevailing from the Bay of Bengal to the southeast Peninsular India in lower tropospheric levels.

Expected Impact in South Peninsular India

  • Rainfall Forecasts:
    • Light to moderate fairly widespread to widespread rainfall is anticipated over south Peninsular India for the next 2-3 days, followed by a gradual decrease.
    • Isolated heavy rainfall is expected over Kerala-Mahe and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal on the 8th and 9th of November. Similarly, South Interior Karnataka may experience isolated heavy rainfall on the 8th of November.

Western Disturbance and Northern Regions

  • Influence of the Western Disturbance:
  • A low-pressure area in the middle tropospheric westerly winds extends along the longitudinal coordinate. 64°E, lying north of Lat. 27°N. An induced cyclonic circulation is present over northwest Rajasthan and neighboring areas in lower tropospheric levels. Anticipated Rainfall: Light to moderate isolated rainfall/snowfall is likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-GilgitBaltistan-Muzaffarabad on the 8th, becoming scattered to fairly widespread on the 9th & 10th. Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand are also expected to experience rainfall on the 8th to 10th of November. Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, and West Rajasthan may witness isolated light rainfall on the 9th of November.

Other Regions’ Forecasts

  • Andaman & Nicobar Islands: Light/moderate scattered to fairly widespread rainfall is expected over the next 7 days.
  • Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharashtra: Light/moderate isolated to scattered rainfall is likely over the next 3-4 days.
  • Rest of the Country: No significant weather patterns are expected.

It is advisable for residents and travelers in these regions to stay updated on the evolving weather conditions through official announcements and local advisories. As the situation may change rapidly, preparedness and caution are essential to mitigate any potential risks associated with heavy rainfall or inclement weather.

Source: India Meteorological Department

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