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Can Covid Case Rise be Seen as a New Wave? What Experts Say

Estimated reading time: 3 minutes

Covid Cases Highlights

  1. Low booster vaccination coverage is contributing to the surge in Covid cases.
  2. Emerging variants of the virus, including Omicron variant XBB.1.16, are spreading in India and may be more transmissible or resistant to vaccines.
  3. Relaxation of restrictions and increased social gatherings are also contributing to the resurgence in cases.
  4. Unvaccinated individuals, particularly those who are older or have underlying health conditions, may be at higher risk for severe illness and death.

India, along with many other countries, is experiencing a rise in Covid-19 cases in the past few days, which has raised concerns about whether it can be viewed as a new wave. Despite the increased vaccination rates, experts suggest several reasons for this surge in infections.

Low Booster Vaccination Coverage

One of the primary reasons for the rise in Covid cases in India could be the low booster vaccination coverage. While there has been a significant increase in vaccination rates in recent months, a portion of the population in India has still not received booster doses. This means that the virus can still easily spread among those who have not received a booster vaccine.

Emerging Variants

Another reason for the surge in Covid cases is the emergence of new variants of the virus, even among vaccinated individuals. These variants may be more transmissible or resistant to existing vaccines, leading to a rise in cases. Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, the technical lead for the Covid response at the World Health Organisation (WHO), recently stated that there are around 800 sequences of Omicron variant XBB.1.16 in 22 countries, most of which are from India. She further added that the profile of BB.1.16 is similar to that of BB.1.5, but additional changes are being observed in the spike protein.

Relaxation of Restrictions

With the decline in Covid-19 cases earlier last year, many states in India relaxed the Covid-imposed restrictions, allowing for greater movement and social gatherings. This may have contributed to a resurgence in cases.

Breakthrough Infections

Vaccines are not 100 per cent effective, and some vaccinated individuals may still get infected with the virus. These so-called “breakthrough infections” are usually mild or asymptomatic, but in some cases, they can still cause severe illness.

Expert Opinion

Experts suggest that the current surge in Covid cases is ‘moderate’ but a matter of concern. “In terms of who will be the most affected, it is difficult to say for certain. However, the unvaccinated population, particularly those who are older or have underlying health conditions, may be at higher risk for severe illness and death.”

Conclusion

In conclusion, the rise in Covid cases in India and other countries can be attributed to several factors, including low booster vaccination coverage, emerging variants of the virus, relaxation of restrictions, and breakthrough infections. It is essential to take all necessary precautions, such as wearing masks, maintaining social distancing, and getting vaccinated, to prevent the spread of the virus. Experts’ opinions suggest that the unvaccinated population, particularly those who are older or have underlying health conditions, may be at higher risk for severe illness and death. It is crucial to remain vigilant and take all necessary precautions to contain the spread of the virus.

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